December 23, 2024
Chris Nelson’s best bets at Eagle Farm, Gold Coast and Randwick (10/19)

Chris Nelson’s best bets at Eagle Farm, Gold Coast and Randwick (10/19)

The race in Brisbane this afternoon comes from Eagle Farm where we still have 10 races to complete on a good (4) rated track. We could see thunderstorms this morning through the afternoon/evening, but there’s always a chance nothing happens either…! A maximum of 33 degrees was forecast. The first race starts at 11.38am QLD time, which is an hour later for those in daylight savings time states.

BEST BET

RACE 8 #3 ESTRONDO

Lightly run galloper from the Heathcote yard who looked extremely unfortunate when he didn’t win last start at Doomben. The wide gate left him behind in the field and then had to weave his way down the straight in a tight space to make ground to the finish line. The official lead was 0.7 liters, so he probably won the race with the same luck. 1400 m ideal, should be a win.

The best value for money

RACE 3 #16 Drop the microphone

Has had some nice races in recent preparation, including a third place in July behind the well-performing Punch Lane (recently placed in Group 2). I thought he should have finished closer here last start when he didn’t have the clearest runs against the inside rail. He lost 4kg on the weights and a rough result here wouldn’t be a surprise. It’s worth playing with good odds.

RACE 9 #15 NEW JOY

She enjoyed her final attempt in Ipswich twice in a row before being held up between 200 and 100m in Doomben on her final outing. When she came to the finish, she finished well. She’s really looking for the longer trip she’s taking this afternoon and Angela Jones is down to take the helm.

RACE 10 #13 POSEIDON RULER

Has only won 4 from 40 starts but his recent form suggests he is ready to break through and probably has a good chance. On three setbacks he finished well in the 1200m, in the last start he finished late in the 1400m, in the heat in between he was beaten wide but played well at the gates and was declared fit to run, which obviously shouldn’t be the case . Look for him late.

GOLD COAST
RACE 3 #2 BATTLE OF VIENNA RACE 6 #3 REBEL SHADOW

RANDWICK

RACE 1 #3 ATHABASCAN
RACE 7 #4 BELLA NIPOTINA

EAGLE FARM (GOOD TRACK)

Race 1 – 1, 10, 3, 7
Race 2 – 2, 6, 1, 11
Race 3 – 16, 4, 15, 11
Races 4 – 3, 1, 6, 8
Races 5 – 6, 8, 3, 7
Race 6 – 1, 2, 3, 5
Race 7 – 1, 7, 3, 2
Race 8 – 3, 6, 1, 2
Races 9 – 15, 5, 7, 6
Races 10 – 13, 16, 24, 10


TRACK BANNER


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