by It’s finals time on the ATP Tour and today we can bet on two excellent matches from Antwerp and Almaty. We’ve broken down the odds from bookmaker Betfred and where to find the best value for money this Sunday below.
The best tennis tips and predictions today
Our first tip will be to bet on Roberto Bautista Agut again, this time to beat Jiri Lehecka in the Antwerp final. In our second prediction, we assume that the final between Karen Khachanov and Gabriel Diallo will take place across the entire gaming market.
Bautista Agut defeats Lehecka @ 3/2
This is a somewhat surprising finale as few expected these players to end up here. On the one hand, we have Bautista Agut, who has been in super solid form lately. On the other side is Jiri Lehecka, a capable player who is slowly getting back to his best after missing a lot of time this year.
To put it simply: Lechecka is the better player at his peak. Unfortunately for his fans, he’s not at his best this week. Yes, he’s in the final, but in our opinion Bautista Agut was more impressive. The pitch speed seems to favor Bautista Agut over Lehecka, although for the most part it is a marginal advantage.
What makes us believe Bautista Agut will win this game is the matchup and style. Lehecka is very aggressive and streaky. Compared to the more stable Spaniard, he can be quite inconsistent at times.
Another factor is their direct duel, which favors Bautista Agut, who leads 3-1. They have played two games so far this year and the score is 1-1, with Lehecka winning the last game.
However, Bautista Agut beat him indoors and won a set in that last game, so he can certainly beat him again. He also beat him in another indoor game, so overall it is very likely that he can win again and the chances are very high.
Khachanov vs Diallo – over 22.5 games at 4/6
The chances are not that high, but we assume that it will work smoothly. There are several reasons for this, mainly related to how the courts work in Almaty.
They are not the same as in Astana, but they are quite similar in the sense that the balls don’t bounce as high. It is a slow course with low bounce, which creates very special conditions.
Khachanov is used to this as the courses in Russia are reasonably similar, so he played well this week. Diallo made this run primarily because his powerful serve simply fell away after touching the court.
It was very difficult to break him this week and we believe it will continue to be the case in this game. Khachanov and Diallo have played once before, with the Russian winning 6-4, 6-4.
Khachanov didn’t really outplay Diallo in this game, so the duel should be close. The conditions in Astana will make it more difficult and a 7-6, 6-4 line is enough to achieve this.
We wouldn’t be shocked if it ended up being 7-6, 7-6 for either player. Khachanov is the favorite to win, and he probably will because he’s simply the more complete player, but Diallo can make things interesting, which is why we’re backing the over.
Bren is our resident New Zealander and has been playing or watching sport in New Zealand for almost three decades. With over 12 years of experience as a professional writer, Bren enjoys diving deep into all things sports to provide the best betting analysis and predictions here at Mr Fixits Tips.
